Masters Degree Dissertations

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    Energy consumption and Uganda's economic growth
    (Makerere University, 2023-12) Mutumba, Geoffrey Ssebabi
    This study investigates the relationship between Energy Consumption and Uganda's Economic Growth (1982 to 2018). Specifically, the study investigates the short and the long run causal relationship between Energy Consumption and Uganda's Economic growth. Secondly, the study investigates the pass-through effect of shocks from Renewable Energy Consumption to Uganda's Economic Growth. Finally, the study investigates the pass-through effect of shocks from Non-Renewable Energy Consumption to Uganda's Economic growth in the period under the review. The study uses Granger Causality Test and Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) to estimate the short run and the long run causal relationship between Energy Consumption and Uganda's Economic Growth. Secondly, the study uses the Structural Vector Autoregression to estimate the pass-through effect of shocks from both Renewable and Non-Renewable Energy Consumption to Uganda's Economic Growth in the period under the review. The analyses in this study presents mixed results. The Granger causality test results show a causal relationship running from renewable energy consumption and non-renewable energy consumption to Economic growth. The VECM results indicate a negative relationship running from renewable energy consumption and non-renewable energy consumption and economic growth in the short run, while appositive relationship running from renewable and non-renewable energy consumption to Economic Growth in the long run. Although the results from Granger Causality Test and VECM indicate that Energy Consumption promotes Uganda's Economic Growth, there is no pass-through effect of shocks from both Renewable and Non-Renewable Energy Consumption to Uganda's Economic Growth in the period under the review. This study makes a contribution to energy economics literature by making an extension to the endogenous growth theory by adding Energy Consumption which is primarily endogenous to the growth process. It also contributes to exogenous growth theory by establishing Energy consumption as a key input to the growth process. The policy implications in this study includes the following; Energy Transition from Traditional Biomass to Modem Energy sources should be encouraged as this can promoted the use of Clean Energy in the country. Secondly, Public Private Investments in the Energy Sector should also be encouraged in order to promote more supply of energy in the country. Finally, Energy Policy and Governance should be streamlined in order to promote Clean Energy Development in the country and thus encouraging faster Economic Growth.
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    Levels, economic savings and determinants of technical efficiency in public health centre III facilities in south western Uganda
    (Kyambogo University [unpublished work], 2023-08) Mugisha, Innocent
    Basic to human welfare is good health and it is fundamental for socioeconomic development of any economy. Faced with resource constraints especially in the health sector, technical efficiency among the healthcare agents is a global concern to ensure proper utilization of the scarce resources to deliver good healthcare services to people. About 20 to 40 percent of the 7.5trillion US dollars spent on health sector globally is wasted to inefficiency (Xu et al., 2018). The general objective was to investigate the determinants of Technical Efficiency in public Health center (HCIII) facilities in South Western Uganda. The study was guided by three specific objectives namely (i) to estimate the TE scores among HCIII facilities, (ii) to establish the level of economic savings that can be achieved when technically inefficient facilities achieved technical efficiency and finally (iii) to examine the socioeconomic determinants of technical efficiency in HCIII facilities in South Western Uganda. The study uses a cross sectional descriptive research design with a sample of 30 public HCIII facilities in South Western Uganda. A Constant Returns to Scale (CRS) output-oriented Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) technique was adopted to estimate TE and slack values for economic savings while a Tobit regression second stage model was applied for the socioeconomic determinants of TE among various public HCIII facilities. Secondary data was obtained from Uganda Bureau of Statistics (UBOS), District Health Information System (DHIS) and District Planning Units for health inputs and outputs as well as socioeconomic characteristics of the population in South Western Uganda for the financial year 2020/21. The findings of the study reveal that 47 percent of the public HCIII facilities were technically efficient and the average TE score was 72 percent implying that the facilities need to improve resource utilization by 28 percent to become technically efficient. The study concludes that unemployment rate, infectious diseases patients, catchment population, patient population below 5 and above 65 years, urban location and competition were the significant determinants of TE for HCIII facilities in South Western Uganda. The study finally recommends reallocation of resources within facilities, increasing resources for facilities and improving social services facilities to improve on the technical efficiency levels for HCIII facilities in South Western Uganda.
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    Savings-economic growth nexus in east African community
    (Kyambogo University [unpublished work], 2023-08) Sirikye, Samuel
    The study investigated the saving-economic growth nexus in East African Community (Uganda, Kenya and Tanzania) for the period 1990-2019 using time series panel secondary data extracted from World Development Indicator database. Specifically the study was to investigate the direction of causality concerning savings and economic growth, examine the impact of gross national savings and other macroeconomic variable on economic growth. The study employed Fisher ADF and Fisher PP to test for stationarity of the variables. The unit root test results showed, lending rate (LRATE) foreign direct investment (FDI) and gross domestic product (GDP) were stationary in level, gross national savings(GNS), gross fixed capital formation (GFCF),exchange rate(EXRATE) and trade openness (TRADE) were stationary after first differencing and inflation (INF) become stationary after second differencing. The Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model was used to establish the causal direction between economic growth (GDP) and gross national savings (GNS) and panel least square used to determine the impact of savings and other macroeconomic variables on economic growth. The VAR estimate shows one way causal direction concerning savings and economic growth. The panel least square fixed effect results revealed that gross national savings has a negative but insignificant effect on economic growth which contradicts the priori expectations that savings positively and significantly affect economic growth, foreign direct investment (FDI) and gross fixed capital formation (GFCF) positively and significantly affect economic growth while trade openness (TRADE) and lending rate (LRATE) negatively and significantly affect economic growth. The study recommended adoption of policies that boost investment (GFCFC), policies that reduce lending rate to encourage borrowing for investment, increase foreign direct investment in productive sectors of the economy and export valve added products. Keyword: Vector Autoregressive model, Panel least square fixed effect, Gross national savings, and Economic growth.